[Todos] [Coloquios] Coloquios DCAO/CIMA - JUEVES (19/05/2022) 13hs: “Assessment of weather forecast performance with respect to weather regimes for better meteorological guidance in energy trading”

[coloquios en cima.fcen.uba.ar]

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Coloquios del Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos 
(DCAO)/
Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA)
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JUEVES 19/05, a las 13hs:
Modo virtual:
ID de reunión: 842 4382 2404
Enlace: https://exactas-uba.zoom.us/j/84243822404
Contraseña: coloquios

Modo presencial:
Aula 1203, edificio 0+infinito, Ciudad Universitaria

“Assessment of weather forecast performance with respect to weather 
regimes for better meteorological guidance in energy trading”
Dra. Masirol Osman - Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

Weather forecasts are an important driver of the European energy market. 
Decarbonization increases and changes the exposure of energy system to 
climate and therefore markets are particularly sensitive on changes in 
the predicted predominant large-scale flow situation over entire Europe. 
  At the interface of medium and sub-seasonal range such large-scale 
weather conditions can be depicted by so-called weather regimes. Weather 
regimes are quasi-stationary, persistent, and recurrent large-scale flow 
patterns that affect the weather conditions on the scale of a continent 
and typically last 5-20 days. Besides the modulation of surface weather, 
weather regimes are also tied to periods of extreme weather such as heat 
waves and droughts, cold spells, or anomalously windy conditions. 
Forecasts for weather regimes are thus of high interest for assessing 
the weather evolution a few weeks up to a month ahead in particular in 
socio-economic sectors such as the energy industry, agriculture, or 
tourism. In this talk we will show  some preliminary results of the 
joint project between the Large Scale and Predictability Group at KIT 
and AXPO solutions, an energy trader company. This project aims at 
providing a systematic assessment of  NWP model performance for weather 
regime forecasts in the European region on medium-range to sub-seasonal 
time scales with focus on regime onsets or transitions which modulate 
surface weather in a way that is particularly relevant for the European 
energy system.

Marisol Osman es investigadora del CONICET en el CIMA (en licencia 
postdoctoral)  e investigadora postdoctoral en el Karlsruhe Institute of 
Technology. Completó su Licenciatura y Doctorado en Ciencas de la 
Atmósfera en el DCAO-FCEyN-UBA. Sus investigaciones se enfocan en la 
predictibilidad y el pronósticos en escalas subestacionales y 
estacionales y el desarrollo de herramientas de pronóstico para 
diferentes sectores soco-económicos.

¡¡Les esperamos en este nuevo ciclo en formato híbrido!!


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Grupo Coloquios DCAO/CIMA
Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (FCEN-UBA)
Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CONICET-UBA)
Ciudad Universitaria, Pabellón II, 2do piso.
email: coloquios en cima.fcen.uba.ar
http://www.at.fcen.uba.ar/charlas_not.php
http://www.cima.fcen.uba.ar/coloquios.php
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