<div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-size:small">Reenvio anuncio de seminario que puede ser de interes.</div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">---------- Forwarded message ---------<br>From: <strong class="gmail_sendername" dir="auto">Instituto de Calculo</strong> <span dir="auto"><<a href="mailto:secre.ic.fcen@gmail.com">secre.ic.fcen@gmail.com</a>></span><br>Date: Fri, Aug 12, 2022 at 3:06 PM<br>Subject: [Docentesic] 15/8 Seminario Instituto de Cálculo | Prof Barnett<br>To:  <<a href="mailto:todos-dm@dm.uba.ar">todos-dm@dm.uba.ar</a>>,  <<a href="mailto:todos@dc.uba.ar">todos@dc.uba.ar</a>>, Docentes IC TODOS <<a href="mailto:docentesic@ic.fcen.uba.ar">docentesic@ic.fcen.uba.ar</a>>,  <<a href="mailto:todos-interna@fcen.uba.ar">todos-interna@fcen.uba.ar</a>><br></div><br><br><div dir="ltr"><p dir="ltr" id="m_6873597700362926304gmail-m_-5226622796879632487m_-4755237347748049850gmail-docs-internal-guid-fb79ecdc-7fff-06db-204f-b359f8c3bcc7" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Estimada/o:</span></p><br><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Desde el Instituto de Cálculo queremos invitarte al seminario que dará el </span><a href="https://mitsloan.mit.edu/faculty/directory/arnold-i-barnett" style="text-decoration-line:none" target="_blank"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;text-decoration-line:underline;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Prof.  </span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;text-decoration-line:underline;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Arnold Barnett</span></a><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">  el próximo miércoles 17 de agosto a las 13 hs en el aula </span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">1208 del 0+ infinito. </span></p><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">El Prof. Barnett es profesor de estadística en el MIT y se encuentra de visita en nuestro país. La charla es abierta a toda la comunidad. </span></p><br><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:700;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Expositor:</span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"> Prof. Arnold Barnett (MIT)</span></p><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:700;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Título: </span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-weight:700;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"> </span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">“Covid-19 Infection Risk on Domestic Airlines“ </span></p><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-weight:700;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Día: </span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Miércoles 17/8</span></p><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-weight:700;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Hora:</span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"> 13 hs</span></p><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-weight:700;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Lugar:</span><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"> Aula 1208 - Pabellón 0 + Inf</span></p><br><br><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">¡Te esperamos!</span></p><br><br><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Resumen: </span></p><p dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(38,40,42);font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Working with recent data and research findings, we estimate the probability that an air traveler in economy class would have contracted Covid-19 on a US domestic jet flight over the nine-month period June 2020 to February 2021.    The estimates take account of such variables  as rates of confirmed Covid-19 infections in the US, flight duration, fraction of seats occupied, and some demographic differences between US air travelers and US citizens as a whole.    Based on point estimates, the risk of contracting Covid-19 in-flight exceeded 1 in 1,000 on a fully-loaded two-hour flight at the height of the pandemic, but was about 1 in 6,000 on a half-full flight when the pandemic was at a low ebb.      However, these estimates are subject to substantial uncertainty, with the 10th percentiles of various risk distributions only about 1/7 as large as the medians, and the 90th percentiles about four times as large.  Based on seat-occupancy levels on US flights for each month over June 2020 to February 2021, the median risk estimate for that period is 1 in 2250, while the mean risk estimate is 1 in 1450.        Indirect effects arose because those who contracted Covid-19 on US airplanes could in turn infect others.</span></p><div><div dir="ltr" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><i><font size="1"><br></font></i></div><div dir="ltr"><i><b>Secretaria <br>Instituto de Cálculo</b></i></div><div><i><b>UBA - CONICET</b></i></div><div dir="ltr"><br></div><div dir="ltr"><div><br></div><div><i><font size="1"><br></font></i></div></div></div></div></div></div></div>
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